MGCPN: An Efficient Deep Learning Model for Tibetan Plateau Precipitation Nowcasting Based on the IMERG Data

The sparse and uneven placement of rain gauges across the Tibetan Plateau (TP) impedes the acquisition of precise, high-resolution precipitation measurements, thus challenging the reliability of forecast data. To address such a challenge, we introduce a model called Multisource Generative Adversarial Network-Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (GAN-ConvLSTM) for Precipitation Nowcasting (MGCPN), which utilizes data products from the Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for global precipitation measurement (IMERG) data, offering high spatiotemporal resolution precipitation forecasts for upcoming periods ranging from 30 to 300 min. The results of our study confirm that the implementation of the MGCPN model successfully addresses the problem of underestimating and blurring precipitation results that often arise with increasing forecast time. This issue is a common challenge in precipitation forecasting models. Furthermore, we have used multisource spatiotemporal datasets with integrated geographic elements for training and prediction to improve model accuracy. The model demonstrates its competence in generating precise precipitation nowcasting with IMERG data, offering valuable support for precipitation research and forecasting in the TP region. The metrics results obtained from our study further emphasize the notable advantages of the MGCPN model; it outperforms the other considered models in the probability of detection (POD), critical success index, Heidke Skill Score, and mean absolute error, especially showing improvements in POD by approximately 33%, 19%, and 8% compared to Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit (ConvGRU), ConvLSTM, and small Attention-UNet (SmaAt-UNet) models.

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Work Title MGCPN: An Efficient Deep Learning Model for Tibetan Plateau Precipitation Nowcasting Based on the IMERG Data
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Open Access
Creators
  1. Mingyue Lu
  2. Zhiyu Huang
  3. Manzhu Yu
  4. Hui Liu
  5. Caifen He
  6. Chuanwei Jin
  7. Jingke Zhang
Keyword
  1. precipitation nowcasting
  2. Generative Adversarial Network-Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (GAN-ConvLSTM) for Precipitation Nowcasting (MGCPN)
  3. Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for global precipitation measurement (IMERG)
  4. deep learning
  5. Tibetan Plateau
License In Copyright (Rights Reserved)
Work Type Article
Publisher
  1. Acta Meteorological Sinica (English Edition) - Journal of Meteorological Research
Publication Date September 6, 2024
Publisher Identifier (DOI)
  1. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13351-024-3211-1
Deposited June 09, 2025

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Version 1
published

  • Created
  • Added s13351-024-3211-1.pdf
  • Added Creator Mingyue Lu
  • Added Creator Zhiyu Huang
  • Added Creator Manzhu Yu
  • Added Creator Hui Liu
  • Added Creator Caifen He
  • Added Creator Chuanwei Jin
  • Added Creator Jingke Zhang
  • Published
  • Updated
  • Updated Keyword, Publisher, Publication Date Show Changes
    Keyword
    • precipitation nowcasting, Generative Adversarial Network-Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (GAN-ConvLSTM) for Precipitation Nowcasting (MGCPN), Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for global precipitation measurement (IMERG), deep learning, Tibetan Plateau
    Publisher
    • Acta Meteorological Sinica (English Edition)
    • Acta Meteorological Sinica (English Edition) - Journal of Meteorological Research
    Publication Date
    • 2024-08-01
    • 2024-09-06