Assessing the Effect of COVID-19 Carceral Downsizing on Crime Rates in Pennsylvania

Groundwork: During the COVID-19 pandemic, PA correctional facilities instituted strategic downsizing polices. Opponents of downsizing raised concerns that releasing offenders would increase crime rates. Our previous research found that downsizing in jails was unrelated to crime rates in five PA counties and saved taxpayers millions of dollars.

Question: Do these findings generalize to the state level?

Approach: Interrupted time series analysis of state-level crime rates pre- and post-downsizing as reported by the FBI and official state prison population data from the PA DOC.

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Work Title Assessing the Effect of COVID-19 Carceral Downsizing on Crime Rates in Pennsylvania
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Open Access
Creators
  1. NICHOLAS JAMES ROWLAND
  2. Nathan E Kruis
  3. Jazzmine McCauley
  4. Lily Grace Reid
  5. Lam Vo
  6. Alexander Kinney
  7. Jazzmine McCauley
  8. Nathan Kruis
  9. NICHOLAS JAMES ROWLAND
License CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 (Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives)
Work Type Poster
Publication Date 2024
DOI doi:10.26207/dvzn-5198
Deposited October 03, 2024

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Version 1
published

  • Created
  • Updated
  • Updated Description, Publication Date Show Changes
    Description
    • Groundwork: During the COVID-19 pandemic, PA correctional facilities instituted strategic downsizing polices. Opponents of downsizing raised concerns that releasing offenders would increase crime rates. Our previous research found that downsizing in jails was unrelated to crime rates in five PA counties and saved taxpayers millions of dollars.
    • Question: Do these findings generalize to the state level?
    • Approach: Interrupted time series analysis of state-level crime rates pre- and post-downsizing as reported by the FBI and official state prison population data from the PA DOC.
    Publication Date
    • 2024
  • Added Creator NICHOLAS JAMES ROWLAND
  • Added Creator Nathan E Kruis
  • Added Creator Jazzmine McCauley
  • Added Creator Lily Grace Reid
  • Added Creator Lam Vo
  • Added Creator Alexander Kinney
  • Added Prison Downsizing Project- State Level Final (1).pdf
  • Updated License Show Changes
    License
    • https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
  • Published
  • Updated

Version 2
published

  • Created
  • Added Creator Jazzmine McCauley
  • Added Creator Nathan Kruis
  • Added Creator NICHOLAS JAMES ROWLAND
  • Published
  • Updated